Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.452742 0.529473 0.615616 0.719573 0.841752 0.980942 1.151767
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.342358 0.445125 0.573612 0.746467 0.973616 1.262883 1.660767
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.276873 0.386965 0.535130 0.749946 1.054921 1.474620 2.099954
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.236568 0.350567 0.513438 0.764439 1.144076 1.700924 2.587295
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.199478 0.310710 0.477937 0.749479 1.183144 1.855193 2.987958
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.172566 0.280971 0.451516 0.741691 1.228271 2.020540 3.426762
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.153499 0.260237 0.435265 0.746097 1.291200 2.220124 3.949602
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.143833 0.253296 0.439938 0.785070 1.416555 2.540230 4.729717
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.134855 0.246041 0.442645 0.820206 1.539042 2.871173 5.580599
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.125303 0.236286 0.439314 0.843263 1.641571 3.178589 6.433842
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.115083 0.223817 0.429162 0.851524 1.716033 3.441541 7.238505
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.104578 0.209366 0.413264 0.845980 1.761503 3.652117 7.966059
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.093480 0.192568 0.391144 0.825807 1.776108 3.805980 8.607869
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.088687 0.188082 0.393348 0.857079 1.905535 4.224013 9.915931
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.081925 0.178519 0.383679 0.861087 1.974989 4.519713 10.989344
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.076962 0.172181 0.380019 0.877804 2.075504 4.900211 12.332117
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.069934 0.160328 0.362695 0.860549 2.093209 5.088060 13.224388
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.064269 0.150886 0.349640 0.851567 2.129578 5.326283 14.288615
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.060106 0.144452 0.342756 0.856649 2.201826 5.664880 15.681917
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.058712 0.144514 0.351319 0.901603 2.383504 6.313187 18.051514
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.057078 0.143774 0.357816 0.942139 2.559656 6.974211 20.580713
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.054772 0.141041 0.358983 0.968744 2.701887 7.564697 23.012195
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.051786 0.136182 0.354107 0.978278 2.797750 8.039740 25.180915